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Levy, Roy; Mislevy, Robert J. – US Department of Education, 2004
The challenges of modeling students' performance in simulation-based assessments include accounting for multiple aspects of knowledge and skill that arise in different situations and the conditional dependencies among multiple aspects of performance in a complex assessment. This paper describes a Bayesian approach to modeling and estimating…
Descriptors: Probability, Markov Processes, Monte Carlo Methods, Bayesian Statistics
Phillips, Gary W.; Grodsky, Milton – 1985
The decision making processes of children in a probabilistic environment were studied within the context of the theory of signal detection (TSD). The relationship between the age of the child and his ability to revise decision criteria was examined, as well as the appropriateness of TSD measures and methodology with children. It was hypothesized…
Descriptors: Age Differences, Bayesian Statistics, Cognitive Development, Cognitive Measurement