Publication Date
| In 2026 | 0 |
| Since 2025 | 0 |
| Since 2022 (last 5 years) | 0 |
| Since 2017 (last 10 years) | 1 |
| Since 2007 (last 20 years) | 1 |
Descriptor
| Economic Climate | 1 |
| Elections | 1 |
| Incentives | 1 |
| Periodicals | 1 |
| Political Attitudes | 1 |
| Prediction | 1 |
| Presidents | 1 |
| Probability | 1 |
| Public Opinion | 1 |
Source
| Grantee Submission | 1 |
Publication Type
| Journal Articles | 1 |
| Reports - Evaluative | 1 |
Education Level
Audience
| Researchers | 1 |
| Students | 1 |
Location
Laws, Policies, & Programs
Assessments and Surveys
What Works Clearinghouse Rating
Peer reviewed
Download full text
Direct linkGelman, Andrew; Hullman, Jessica; Wlezien, Christopher; Morris, George Elliott – Grantee Submission, 2020
Presidential elections can be forecast using information from political and economic conditions, polls, and a statistical model of changes in public opinion over time. However, these "knowns" about how to make a good presidential election forecast come with many unknowns due to the challenges of evaluating forecast calibration and…
Descriptors: Presidents, Elections, Incentives, Public Opinion
