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Mingya Huang; David Kaplan – Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 2025
The issue of model uncertainty has been gaining interest in education and the social sciences community over the years, and the dominant methods for handling model uncertainty are based on Bayesian inference, particularly, Bayesian model averaging. However, Bayesian model averaging assumes that the true data-generating model is within the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Hierarchical Linear Modeling, Statistical Inference, Predictor Variables
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Hasan Aykut Karaboga; Ibrahim Demir – International Journal of Assessment Tools in Education, 2023
Bayesian Networks (BNs) are probabilistic graphical statistical models that have been widely used in many fields over the last decade. This method, which can also be used for educational data mining (EDM) purposes, is a fairly new method in education literature. This study models students' science success using the BN approach. Science is one of…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Science Achievement, Achievement Tests, International Assessment
Kaplan, David; Chen, Jianschen; Yavuz, Sinan; Lyu, Weicong – Grantee Submission, 2022
The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate and evaluate the use of "Bayesian dynamic borrowing"(Viele et al, in Pharm Stat 13:41-54, 2014) as a means of systematically utilizing historical information with specific applications to large-scale educational assessments. Dynamic borrowing via Bayesian hierarchical models is a special case…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Models, Prediction, Accuracy
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Kaplan, David; Chen, Jianshen; Lyu, Weicong; Yavuz, Sinan – Large-scale Assessments in Education, 2023
The purpose of this paper is to extend and evaluate methods of "Bayesian historical borrowing" applied to longitudinal data with a focus on parameter recovery and predictive performance. Bayesian historical borrowing allows researchers to utilize information from previous data sources and to adjust the extent of borrowing based on the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Longitudinal Studies, Children, Surveys
David Kaplan; Jianshen Chen; Weicong Lyu; Sinan Yavuz – Grantee Submission, 2023
The purpose of this paper is to extend and evaluate methods of "Bayesian historical borrowing" applied to longitudinal data with a focus on parameter recovery and predictive performance. Bayesian historical borrowing allows researchers to utilize information from previous data sources and to adjust the extent of borrowing based on the…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Longitudinal Studies, Children, Surveys
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Sainan Xu; Jing Lu; Jiwei Zhang; Chun Wang; Gongjun Xu – Grantee Submission, 2024
With the growing attention on large-scale educational testing and assessment, the ability to process substantial volumes of response data becomes crucial. Current estimation methods within item response theory (IRT), despite their high precision, often pose considerable computational burdens with large-scale data, leading to reduced computational…
Descriptors: Educational Assessment, Bayesian Statistics, Statistical Inference, Item Response Theory
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Buyukatak, Emrah; Anil, Duygu – International Journal of Assessment Tools in Education, 2022
The purpose of this research was to determine classification accuracy of the factors affecting the success of students' reading skills based on PISA 2018 data by using Artificial Neural Networks, Decision Trees, K-Nearest Neighbor, and Naive Bayes data mining classification methods and to examine the general characteristics of success groups. In…
Descriptors: Classification, Accuracy, Reading Tests, Achievement Tests
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Qiao, Xin; Jiao, Hong; He, Qiwei – Journal of Educational Measurement, 2023
Multiple group modeling is one of the methods to address the measurement noninvariance issue. Traditional studies on multiple group modeling have mainly focused on item responses. In computer-based assessments, joint modeling of response times and action counts with item responses helps estimate the latent speed and action levels in addition to…
Descriptors: Multivariate Analysis, Models, Item Response Theory, Statistical Distributions
Jing Lu; Chun Wang; Jiwei Zhang; Xue Wang – Grantee Submission, 2023
Changepoints are abrupt variations in a sequence of data in statistical inference. In educational and psychological assessments, it is pivotal to properly differentiate examinees' aberrant behaviors from solution behavior to ensure test reliability and validity. In this paper, we propose a sequential Bayesian changepoint detection algorithm to…
Descriptors: Bayesian Statistics, Behavior Patterns, Computer Assisted Testing, Accuracy